Slow- and fast-moving information content of CDS spreads: new endogenous systematic factors

Date

2019-09-23

Advisors

Journal Title

Journal ISSN

ISSN

1351-847X

Volume Title

Publisher

Taylor & Francis

Type

Article

Peer reviewed

Yes

Abstract

This paper proposes two new Credit Default Swap (CDS) endogenous systematic factors constructed from peer-CDS information. The factors capture slow-moving credit risk information, as well as fast-moving newly arrived market information embedded in the most recent CDS quotes. Using a sample of U.S. non-financial listed firms from 2002 to 2011, we find that these two endogenous systematic factors dominate firm-specific factors and other widely known systematic factors in in-sample and out-of-sample CDS spread predictions.

Description

The file attached to this record is the author's final peer reviewed version. The Publisher's final version can be found by following the DOI link.

Keywords

CDS spread, credit risk, liquidity risk, systematic factors

Citation

Lin, M.T., Kolokolova, O. and Poon, S-H. (2019) Slow- and fast- moving information content of CDS spreads: new endogenous systematic factors. The European Journal of Finance,

Rights

Research Institute