What role can growth curves play in forecasting with particular reference technology strategy?

Date

2010

Advisors

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ISSN

DOI

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Type

Conference

Peer reviewed

Yes

Abstract

Previously, papers have been presented to the IWCS which have looked at the use of a limited set of equations to help predict the path of technology. The results were promising and indicated that a set of biologically inspired equations providing analogies for technology push, consumer pull and ‘me too’ type self fuelling growth had potential in predicting (a) the maximum speed etc. of a technology or maximum size of a market (b) the point at which a replacement technology should be invested in (c) understanding the market dynamics driving a technology. Currently an interview-based survey is underway to further investigate this hypothesis. This paper will present the preliminary results of this survey.

Description

This paper is the output from a collaborative research project with the Department of Engineering

Keywords

Forecasting, Growth Curves, Strategy

Citation

Duffy, A.P., Wright, S, and Cesta, L. (2010) What Role can Growth Curves play in Forecasting with Particular Reference to Technology Strategy? Fifty-Ninth International Wire & Cable Connectivity Symposium, Rhode Island, USA

Rights

Research Institute

Institute of Engineering Sciences (IES)